The Congress MLAs owing allegiance to YSR Congress party president Y S Jaganmohan Reddy till now seem to be confident that they would not be disqualified from the Congress party even if they vote against the Kiran Kumar Reddy government in the no-confidence motion.
According to the indications available so far, at least a dozen MLAs would vote for the no-confidence motion moved by Telugu Desam Party in the assembly.
They are of the view that the Congress would not dare to issue a disqualification notice against them because it would result in dwindling of its numbers in the assembly and would make its position precarious. In the event of they being disqualified, there is every possibility that the YSR Congress would back all the seats and thus, the Congress strength would come down by their number.
“Hence, even if they vote against the government, the Congress party would bear it with humiliation and would not seek their disqualification because technically, they still remain the Congress MLAs,” a political observer said.
To avoid such an embarrassing situation, the Speaker might even conduct a voice vote on the no-confidence motion and say that the no-trust motion was lost. That would help the Congress to claim that all the pro-Jagan MLAs had voted for the government. It would save the face of both the Congress as well as Jaganmohan Reddy. In a way, it will also be a blessing in disguise for the TDP, since it might not be willing to contest the by-elections in the disqualified pro-Jagan MLAs’ constituencies.